Wall Street ticks higher as hot U.S. inflation cools further

Record-Journal (Meriden, CT)

The Russell 2000 rose, 32.01 points, or 1.7%, to 1,876.06.

Every major index is on track for weekly gains.

The nation’s painfully high inflation has been at the center of Wall Street’s wild movements for more than a year. Recently, stocks have been rising and bond yields have been falling on hopes inflation’s cooldown from a summertime peak may get the Federal Reserve to ease off its barrage of rate hikes.

Such increases can stifle inflation, but they do so by slowing the economy and risk causing a recession.

They also hurt investment prices.

In the bond market, Thursday ‘s inflation report sent yields falling further as traders grow more convinced the Fed will downshift the size of its next rate increase. They’re now largely forecasting a hike of just 0.25 percentage points next month, down from December ‘s half-point hike and from four prior increases of 0.75 percentage points.

Many traders are betting on the Fed to follow that with perhaps another quarterpoint hike, but to then potentially take a pause, according to data from CME Group.

Analysts cautioned that while Thursday’s inflation report did show inflation at its least debilitating level in more than a year, it still leaves room for continued pressure on the economy from high rates.

They warned more big swings may still be to come for markets.