John Rogers Of Ariel Investments Says US Will Avoid Recession In 2023: 'More Optimistic Today Than A Year Ago'

John Rogers, chairman and co-CEO of Ariel Investments, said the U.S. will avoid a recession this year as the Federal Reserve reins in inflation.

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“We are much more optimistic today than a year ago,” Rogers told business leaders at the Executives’ Club of Chicago’s annual outlook event, according to a Bloomberg report. “The Fed is doing the right things when it comes to [the] money supply,” he said.


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The fund industry veteran said the worst has been left behind and bad news is already baked-in. He also expects the central bank will get inflation back to the 4.5% level.

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The consumer price index rose 6.5% in December, down from 7.1% in November, according to data from the Labor Department. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, was up 5.7% in December, in line with market estimates. Following this, major Wall Street indices closed in the green on Thursday. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE: SPY) closed 0.36% higher while the Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ: QQQ) gained 0.54%.

On U.S. Equities: Rogers said cyclical stocks would do well, adding that he was “all in” on U.S. equities. He added that auto-related companies were “well-positioned,” and was optimistic about housing and real estate.

“Equities in America is the place to be,” he said.

Rogers, however, cautioned against Chinese markets owing to a real estate bubble there and said Bitcoin prices could decline further. “I don’t see any real value there,” he said about cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is up over 13% on a year-to-date basis while Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) has gained over 17%. Bitcoin briefly jumped over the $19,000 mark on Thursday after December inflation data was released.

Read Next: Lower Rate Hikes Ahead? How Fed Officials Reacted To December Inflation Data



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